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Letter to the Editor: Smoke & Mirrors of Vaccine Efficacy

After reading Bill Martin’s column today on vaccines, I will channel Paul Harvey’s radio program, The Rest of the Story.  My senior English teacher, Fr. Becker, taught me 2 important axioms that have never been wrong:  if you want to know the real truth:  look under the rug & follow the money.
First, let’s ask some simple questions: How many people actually get the flu every year and how effective is the flu vaccine? According to the CDC, about 3%-11% of people in the US get the flu each year and studies show that the flu vaccine is about 30-50% effective, depending on the year (graph below).  So, this means that you have a 3-11% chance of getting the flu and because the vaccine is only 30-50% effective, there is about a 1-5% chance that the flu vaccine will actually prevent YOU from getting the flu.
Next, here is a graph from the Centers For Disease Control website that shows the effectiveness of the flu vaccine in preventing the flu from 04 – 17.  It is 50% or above only 4 of those years & was abysmal in 04 – 05 & 14 – 15.  Bill is an extremely intelligent fiscal individual.  Would he buy a computer or car with that degree of effectiveness?
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With regards to the COVID vaccine, one must compare relative risk versus absolute risk of becoming ill from COVID in receiving the vaccine.

     Relative Risk Reduction 95%          Absolute Risk Reduction 0.7%
     Relative Risk Reduction 94%          Absolute Risk Reduction 1%
It would require too much space to delineate the difference between relative & absolute risk.  A computer search would easily educate one on these terms.  Drug companies sell drugs & vaccines by utilizing relative risk, not absolute risk.  No one would be immunized with a 0.7% or 1% risk reduction.
My advice is the same as before:  build a better fort, aka make the right lifestyle & supplement choices that gives you a Michael Jordan immune system!
Jim Cross, ND, LAc, Quincy, CA


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